Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday


	Jurjen van der Velde		Dean Gallagher

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.27	3.2
	1.01	9.01	Watch
			Watch
	1.28	3.45	Watch
	1.25	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.3)	4.46 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jurjen van der Velde
78.5%

Dean Gallagher
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurjen van der Velde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jurjen van der Velde's performance.

Dean Gallagher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dean Gallagher might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurjen van der Velde than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jurjen van der Velde that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dean Gallagher than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dean Gallagher could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jurjen van der Velde - Dean Gallagher Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

van der Velde is ranked World Ranking: 143.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, van der Velde is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, van der Velde won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 4:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jurjen van der Velde
Darts
23.09.25	Dean Gallagher - Jurjen van der Velde	3:4 ✺
23.09.25	Jurjen van der Velde - Reece Robinson	4:2 ✺
23.09.25	Jamai van den Herik - Jurjen van der Velde	4:3 ✺
23.09.25	Jurjen van der Velde - Jeroen Caron	4:2 ✺
23.09.25	Jurjen van der Velde - Daniel Ayres	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL
- Dean Gallagher
Darts
23.09.25	Dean Gallagher - Jurjen van der Velde	3:4 ✺
23.09.25	Jamai van den Herik - Dean Gallagher	4:0 ✺
23.09.25	Dean Gallagher - Daniel Ayres	2:4 ✺
23.09.25	Reece Robinson - Dean Gallagher	3:4 ✺
23.09.25	Jeroen Caron - Dean Gallagher	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
23.09.25	Dean Gallagher - Jurjen van der Velde	3:4
22.09.25	Jurjen van der Velde - Dean Gallagher	4:1

Jurjen van der Velde - Dean Gallagher: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide