Match Info

European Tour 11 - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: MVM Dome (Budapest)


	Jonny Clayton		Ross Smith

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.88	1.88
	1.74	2.02	Watch
	1.70	1.95
	1.77	1.92
	1.75	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.71)	1.93 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonny Clayton
51.9%

Ross Smith
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonny Clayton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Ross Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonny Clayton than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jonny Clayton - Ross Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Clayton is ranked World Ranking: 5. Smith is ranked World Ranking: 17.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Clayton won 4.

Clayton is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Smith is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Clayton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Clayton won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 52:43. (average 5.8:4.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Jonny Clayton - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.95%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.

Ross Smith - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.05%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonny Clayton
Darts
29.08.26	Jonny Clayton - Laszlo Kadar	6:3 ✺
22.08.26	Brody Klinge - Jonny Clayton	7:5 ✺
22.08.26	Jonny Clayton - Damon Heta	6:3 ✺
21.08.26	Jonny Clayton - Ben Robb	6:3 ✺
15.08.26	Gian Van Veen - Jonny Clayton	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW
- Ross Smith
Darts
29.08.26	Ross Smith - William OConnor	6:2 ✺
21.08.26	Ross Smith - Brody Klinge	5:6 ✺
14.08.26	Ross Smith - Adam Leek	5:6 ✺
24.07.26	Ross Smith - Gerwyn Price	12:16 ✺
22.07.26	Cameron Menzies - Ross Smith	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
22.03.26	Jonny Clayton - Ross Smith	6:5
25.05.25	Jonny Clayton - Ross Smith	6:5
09.10.24	Jonny Clayton - Ross Smith	3:1
02.03.24	Jonny Clayton - Ross Smith	10:8
03.10.23	Jonny Clayton - Ross Smith	0:2 best of 5 sets
03.03.23	Ross Smith - Jonny Clayton	9:10
26.11.22	Ross Smith - Jonny Clayton	5:6 best of 11 legs

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