Match Info

European Tour 14 - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: St. Jakobshalle (Basel)


	Ross Smith		William OConnor

	1	2
	1.44	2.75
	1.41	2.85
	1.41	2.78	Watch
	1.39	2.75
	1.4	2.73
	1.39	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)	2.77 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ross Smith
66.3%

William OConnor
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ross Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

William OConnor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for William OConnor than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Ross Smith - William OConnor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Smith is ranked World Ranking: 15., and OConnor is ranked World Ranking: 34..

Smith is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

OConnor has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Smith could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Smith holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Smith has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:13 (averaging 6.3:3.3 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ross Smith
Darts
30.09.26	Gerwyn Price - Ross Smith	3:0 ✺
28.09.26	Ross Smith - Cameron Menzies	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Ross Smith - Gerwyn Price	11:5 ✺
20.09.26	Ross Smith - Gian Van Veen	11:8 ✺
20.09.26	Ross Smith - Josh Rock	10:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWWW
- William OConnor
Darts
09.10.26	William OConnor - Jani Haavisto	6:1 ✺
29.09.26	Ryan Searle - William OConnor	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Luke Woodhouse - William OConnor	6:3 ✺
11.09.26	William OConnor - Kevin Lankhuizen	6:2 ✺
06.09.26	William OConnor - Luke Humphries	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
29.08.26	Ross Smith - William OConnor	6:2
03.06.26	William OConnor - Ross Smith	5:8
13.04.24	Ross Smith - William OConnor	6:5
09.09.20	Ross Smith - William OConnor	5:1 best of 9 legs

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