Match Info

World Grand Prix - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester)


	Jonny Clayton		Wessel Nijman

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.12	1.68	Watch
	2.12	1.69
	2.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.02)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 17.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonny Clayton
44.2%

Wessel Nijman
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonny Clayton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Wessel Nijman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonny Clayton than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jonny Clayton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wessel Nijman than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wessel Nijman could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jonny Clayton - Wessel Nijman Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

AH +1.5 - Jonny Clayton (1.53) (votes: 90%) ⭐ Best Value.

Win 1st Set - Jonny Clayton (2.00) (votes: 81%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Format: Double in, Double out.

Clayton is ranked World Ranking: 5., and Nijman is ranked World Ranking: 12..

Clayton is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Nijman has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Nijman could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Nijman in today's match, at odds of 1.74.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Clayton has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:6 (averaging 4.5:3 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonny Clayton
Darts
28.09.26	Jonny Clayton - Krzysztof Ratajski	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Gerwyn Price - Jonny Clayton	11:7 ✺
20.09.26	Luke Littler - Jonny Clayton	4:10 ✺
19.09.26	Jonny Clayton - Motomu Sakai	10:8 ✺
18.09.26	Jonny Clayton - Maik Kuivenhoven	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWWW
- Wessel Nijman
Darts
28.09.26	Wessel Nijman - Robert Cross	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	James Wade - Wessel Nijman	10:7 ✺
18.09.26	Wessel Nijman - Simon Whitlock	6:4 ✺
13.09.26	Danny Noppert - Wessel Nijman	6:4 ✺
12.09.26	Wessel Nijman - Sebastian Bialecki	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
29.01.26	Jonny Clayton - Wessel Nijman	3:1
08.03.25	Jonny Clayton - Wessel Nijman	6:5

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