Match Info

World Series Finals - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: AFAS Live (Amsterdam)


	James Wade		Wessel Nijman

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.85
	1.87	1.87
	2.1	1.65
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.8	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.89)	1.83 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Wade
49.2%

Wessel Nijman
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Wade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Wessel Nijman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Wade than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wessel Nijman than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

James Wade - Wessel Nijman Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 9:10

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Preview

Wade is ranked World Ranking: 6., and Nijman is ranked World Ranking: 12..

Wade has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Nijman have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Wade may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Wade has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:14 (averaging 7.7:4.7 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

James Wade - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.6%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Wade
Darts
18.09.26	James Wade - Damon Heta	6:5 ✺
13.09.26	James Wade - Damon Heta	7:4 ✺
13.09.26	James Wade - Danny Noppert	6:0 ✺
13.09.26	James Wade - Robert Cross	6:5 ✺
12.09.26	James Wade - Jim Long	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW
- Wessel Nijman
Darts
18.09.26	Wessel Nijman - Simon Whitlock	6:4 ✺
13.09.26	Danny Noppert - Wessel Nijman	6:4 ✺
12.09.26	Wessel Nijman - Sebastian Bialecki	6:4 ✺
06.09.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Wessel Nijman	6:4 ✺
05.09.26	Wessel Nijman - Martin Schindler	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
24.05.26	James Wade - Wessel Nijman	6:5
22.07.25	Wessel Nijman - James Wade	5:11
29.09.24	James Wade - Wessel Nijman	6:4

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