Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Jurjen van der Velde		Jeroen Caron

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.34	2.85
			Watch
	1.36	2.94	Watch
	1.36	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)	2.95 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jurjen van der Velde
68.5%

Jeroen Caron
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurjen van der Velde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Jeroen Caron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurjen van der Velde than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jurjen van der Velde that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeroen Caron than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jeroen Caron could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jurjen van der Velde - Jeroen Caron Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

van der Velde is ranked World Ranking: 143. Jeroen Caron is ranked World Ranking: 179.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, van der Velde is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, van der Velde won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jurjen van der Velde
Darts
23.09.25	Jurjen van der Velde - Daniel Ayres	2:4 ✺
22.09.25	Daniel Ayres - Jurjen van der Velde	4:3 ✺
22.09.25	Jeroen Caron - Jurjen van der Velde	4:1 ✺
22.09.25	Jurjen van der Velde - Jamai van den Herik	2:4 ✺
22.09.25	Reece Robinson - Jurjen van der Velde	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW
- Jeroen Caron
Darts
23.09.25	Jeroen Caron - Dean Gallagher	3:4 ✺
22.09.25	Dean Gallagher - Jeroen Caron	2:4 ✺
22.09.25	Jeroen Caron - Jurjen van der Velde	4:1 ✺
22.09.25	Reece Robinson - Jeroen Caron	1:4 ✺
22.09.25	Jeroen Caron - Daniel Ayres	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
22.09.25	Jeroen Caron - Jurjen van der Velde	4:1

Jurjen van der Velde - Jeroen Caron: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide