Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Justin Smith		Jyri Ussa

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.47	2.39
	1.49	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.43	2.72
	1.45	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.55)	2.5 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justin Smith
63.1%

Jyri Ussa
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justin Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Jyri Ussa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Justin Smith than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Justin Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jyri Ussa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jyri Ussa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Justin Smith - Jyri Ussa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Smith is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ussa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Smith might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Smith won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:11. (average 3.8:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Justin Smith - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.1%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justin Smith
Darts
19.02.26	Jyri Ussa - Justin Smith	1:4 ✺
19.02.26	Justin Smith - Harry Ward	4:1 ✺
19.02.26	Robert Thornton - Justin Smith	3:4 ✺
19.02.26	Justin Smith - Alex Williams	0:4 ✺
19.02.26	Phil Johnson-Hale - Justin Smith	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLW
- Jyri Ussa
Darts
19.02.26	Jyri Ussa - Justin Smith	1:4 ✺
19.02.26	Jyri Ussa - Robert Thornton	4:3 ✺
19.02.26	Alex Williams - Jyri Ussa	4:1 ✺
19.02.26	Jyri Ussa - Phil Johnson-Hale	4:2 ✺
19.02.26	Harry Ward - Jyri Ussa	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
19.02.26	Jyri Ussa - Justin Smith	1:4
18.02.26	Jyri Ussa - Justin Smith	3:4
17.02.26	Jyri Ussa - Justin Smith	4:3
16.02.26	Justin Smith - Jyri Ussa	4:3

Justin Smith - Jyri Ussa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide