Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday


	Jyri Ussa		Justin Smith

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.72
	1.88	1.78	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.98	1.72
	1.85	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.93)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jyri Ussa
47.7%

Justin Smith
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jyri Ussa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Justin Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jyri Ussa than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jyri Ussa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justin Smith than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Justin Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jyri Ussa - Justin Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Smith will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ussa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 3.3:3.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jyri Ussa
Darts
19.02.26	Jyri Ussa - Robert Thornton	4:3 ✺
19.02.26	Alex Williams - Jyri Ussa	4:1 ✺
19.02.26	Jyri Ussa - Phil Johnson-Hale	4:2 ✺
19.02.26	Harry Ward - Jyri Ussa	3:4 ✺
18.02.26	Jyri Ussa - Justin Smith	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWL
- Justin Smith
Darts
19.02.26	Justin Smith - Harry Ward	4:1 ✺
19.02.26	Robert Thornton - Justin Smith	3:4 ✺
19.02.26	Justin Smith - Alex Williams	0:4 ✺
19.02.26	Phil Johnson-Hale - Justin Smith	2:4 ✺
18.02.26	Jyri Ussa - Justin Smith	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
18.02.26	Jyri Ussa - Justin Smith	3:4
17.02.26	Jyri Ussa - Justin Smith	4:3
16.02.26	Justin Smith - Jyri Ussa	4:3

Jyri Ussa - Justin Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide