Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Justin Smith		Sam Spivey

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.06	1.63
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.06	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.08)	1.65 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justin Smith
43.9%

Sam Spivey
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justin Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Sam Spivey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justin Smith than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sam Spivey than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Justin Smith - Sam Spivey Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Spivey will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Preview

Spivey is ranked World Ranking: 162.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Spivey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Spivey will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Justin Smith - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.52%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Sam Spivey - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.48%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justin Smith
Darts
21.02.26	Graham Hall - Justin Smith	4:3 ✺
20.02.26	Justin Smith - Phil Johnson-Hale	1:4 ✺
20.02.26	Alex Williams - Justin Smith	4:1 ✺
20.02.26	Justin Smith - Robert Thornton	4:1 ✺
20.02.26	Harry Ward - Justin Smith	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWW
- Sam Spivey
Darts
20.02.26	Adrian Devine - Sam Spivey	3:4 ✺
20.02.26	Sam Spivey - Michael Warburton	1:4 ✺
20.02.26	Kevin Burness - Sam Spivey	2:4 ✺
20.02.26	Sam Spivey - Andy Baetens	4:1 ✺
19.02.26	Andy Baetens - Sam Spivey	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWL

Justin Smith - Sam Spivey: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide