Match Info

WORLD: MODUS SUPER SERIES

Date: 12 April 2023, Wednesday


	Luke Littler		Nathan Girvan

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.3
	1.3	3.32
	1.32	3.1
	1.4	2.75
	1.33	3.04	Watch
	1.34	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.39)	3.09 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Littler
69.9%

Nathan Girvan
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Littler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Nathan Girvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Littler than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luke Littler that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Girvan than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nathan Girvan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Luke Littler - Nathan Girvan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Littler is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Girvan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Littler will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Littler won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Littler
Darts
12.04.23	Alex Spellman - Luke Littler	4:2 ✺
12.04.23	Luke Littler - Alexander Merkx	4:1 ✺
12.04.23	Steve Johnstone - Luke Littler	2:4 ✺
11.04.23	Luke Littler - Nathan Girvan	4:0 ✺
11.04.23	Alexander Merkx - Luke Littler	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW
- Nathan Girvan
Darts
12.04.23	Nathan Girvan - Steve Johnstone	4:2 ✺
12.04.23	Alex Spellman - Nathan Girvan	2:4 ✺
12.04.23	Nathan Girvan - Kenny Neyens	4:1 ✺
11.04.23	Luke Littler - Nathan Girvan	4:0 ✺
11.04.23	Nathan Girvan - Steve Johnstone	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
11.04.23	Luke Littler - Nathan Girvan	4:0
10.04.23	Nathan Girvan - Luke Littler	2:4

Luke Littler - Nathan Girvan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide