Match Info

WORLD: Grand Slam - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: WV Active Aldersley (Wolverhampton)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Voyo
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport+
Germany	DAZN 2, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+
World	PDC TV


	Martin Lukeman		Ross Smith

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.25	1.58
	2.33	1.6
	2.25	1.61
	2.3	1.62
	2.19	1.65
	2.25	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.47)	1.6 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Lukeman
41.2%

Ross Smith
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Lukeman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Ross Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Lukeman than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Martin Lukeman - Ross Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:10

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Preview

Lukeman is ranked World Ranking: 45. Smith is ranked World Ranking: 22.

Lukeman is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Smith is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Smith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Smith will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Smith to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lukeman won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Last Results with these Odds

Ross Smith - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.93%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Lukeman
Darts
11.11.24	Martin Lukeman - Leonard Gates	5:3 ✺
10.11.24	Robert Cross - Martin Lukeman	3:5 ✺
09.11.24	Peter Wright - Martin Lukeman	0:5 ✺
30.10.24	Berry Van Peer - Martin Lukeman	4:6 ✺
19.10.24	Ricardo Pietreczko - Martin Lukeman	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWL
- Ross Smith
Darts
11.11.24	Ross Smith - Connor Scuut	5:0 ✺
10.11.24	Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith	2:5 ✺
09.11.24	Ross Smith - Ritchie Edhouse	1:5 ✺
24.10.24	Ross Smith - Luke Woodhouse	1:6 ✺
19.10.24	Ross Smith - Alan Soutar	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
06.10.22	Martin Lukeman - Ross Smith	3:2 best of 5 sets

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