Match Info

ADC Global Championship

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Mat Caste		Kurt Parry

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.41
	2.48	1.45
	2.63	1.44
	2.63	1.45
	2.6	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.62)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mat Caste
35.8%

Kurt Parry
64.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mat Caste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Kurt Parry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mat Caste than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mat Caste that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kurt Parry than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kurt Parry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mat Caste - Kurt Parry Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Caste (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Preview

Recent performances by Caste have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Parry is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Parry could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Parry will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Kurt Parry - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.61%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mat Caste
Darts
11.12.25	Graham Hall - Mat Caste	2:4 ✺
11.12.25	Robbie Martin - Mat Caste	2:4 ✺
11.12.25	Kurt Parry - Mat Caste	4:2 ✺
11.12.25	Mat Caste - Graham Hall	2:4 ✺
06.12.25	Mat Caste - Jonny Barnes	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLLL
- Kurt Parry
Darts
11.12.25	Kurt Parry - Robbie Martin	2:4 ✺
11.12.25	Graham Hall - Kurt Parry	0:4 ✺
11.12.25	Kurt Parry - Mat Caste	4:2 ✺
11.12.25	Robbie Martin - Kurt Parry	4:0 ✺
07.12.25	Kurt Parry - Jamie Kelling	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
11.12.25	Kurt Parry - Mat Caste	4:2

Mat Caste - Kurt Parry