Match Info

WORLD: World Matchplay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Winter Gardens (Blackpool)


	Michael Smith		Chris Dobey

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.71	2.04
	1.74	2.11
	1.7	2.04	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.75	2.08
	1.69	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.62)	2.07 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 18.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Smith
54.5%

Chris Dobey
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Chris Dobey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chris Dobey than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Michael Smith - Chris Dobey Predictions

Users Predictions: Michael Smith will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 11:9

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Smith won 1.

Smith is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dobey is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Smith won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 57-58.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Smith
Darts
15.07.24	Michael Smith - Gary Anderson	10:5 ✺
23.06.24	Michael Smith - Ross Smith	5:7
23.06.24	Martin Schindler - Michael Smith	5:6 ✺
23.06.24	Michael Smith - Peter Wright	6:4 ✺
22.06.24	Robert Cross - Michael Smith	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWW
- Chris Dobey
Darts
15.07.24	Chris Dobey - Ritchie Edhouse	10:7 ✺
02.07.24	Chris Dobey - Florian Hempel	5:6 ✺
23.06.24	Damon Heta - Chris Dobey	6:5 ✺
22.06.24	Chris Dobey - Jeffrey de Graaf	6:5 ✺
26.05.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Chris Dobey	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
29.12.23	Michael Smith - Chris Dobey	0:4 best of 5 sets
18.07.23	Michael Smith - Chris Dobey	7:11
27.04.23	Michael Smith - Chris Dobey	6:1
23.03.23	Michael Smith - Chris Dobey	4:6
16.03.23	Chris Dobey - Michael Smith	6:4
29.01.23	Michael Smith - Chris Dobey	7:11
04.03.22	Chris Dobey - Michael Smith	7:10 best of 19 legs

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