Match Info

EUROPE: European Tour 8 - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Ostermann Arena (Leverkusen)


	Michael Smith		Peter Wright

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.38	2.8
	1.39	3.04
	1.39	3.04
	1.36	3.1
	1.4	2.89
	1.38	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.35)	2.93 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Smith
67.8%

Peter Wright
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Peter Wright has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peter Wright than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Michael Smith - Peter Wright Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Smith won 3.

Smith in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Wright is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wright could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Smith is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Smith won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 110-135.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Smith
Darts
22.06.24	Robert Cross - Michael Smith	0:6 ✺
21.06.24	Michael Smith - James Wade	6:5 ✺
15.06.24	Luke Humphries - Michael Smith	5:6 ✺
14.06.24	Michael Smith - Radoslav Szaganski	6:4 ✺
12.06.24	Michael Smith - Joshua Richardson	6:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW
- Peter Wright
Darts
22.06.24	Peter Wright - Ritchie Edhouse	6:3 ✺
15.06.24	Luke Littler - Peter Wright	6:3 ✺
14.06.24	Peter Wright - Jacek Krupka	6:0 ✺
07.06.24	Peter Wright - Johan Engstrom	5:6 ✺
01.06.24	Gerwyn Price - Peter Wright	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
02.05.24	Peter Wright - Michael Smith	4:6
07.03.24	Michael Smith - Peter Wright	6:5
19.01.24	Michael Smith - Peter Wright	6:1
28.10.23	Michael Smith - Peter Wright	4:10
12.08.23	Michael Smith - Peter Wright	3:6
30.04.23	Michael Smith - Peter Wright	4:6
27.04.23	Michael Smith - Peter Wright	6:2

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