Match Info

European Tour 4 - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Zenith (Munich)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Sport 1
Hungary	Net4+


	Michael Smith		Krzysztof Ratajski

	1	2
	1.91	1.91
	1.75	1.95
	1.81	1.82
	1.9	1.9
	1.68	2.04	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.81	1.93
	1.81	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.72)	1.92 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Smith
51.5%

Krzysztof Ratajski
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Krzysztof Ratajski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krzysztof Ratajski than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Michael Smith - Krzysztof Ratajski Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Smith (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Smith is ranked World Ranking: 19. Ratajski is ranked World Ranking: 33.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Smith won 3.

Recent matches Smith is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ratajski is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ratajski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Smith won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 70:50 (average 6.4:4.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Smith - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.96%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Smith
Darts
04.04.25	Michael Smith - Thibault Tricole	3:6 ✺
01.04.25	Michael Smith - Michele Turetta	6:4 ✺
23.03.25	Luke Humphries - Michael Smith	6:5 ✺
22.03.25	Michael Smith - Ricardo Pietreczko	6:2 ✺
17.03.25	Michael Smith - Wesley Plaisier	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWW
- Krzysztof Ratajski
Darts
19.04.25	Mensur Suljovic - Krzysztof Ratajski	5:6 ✺
14.04.25	Krzysztof Ratajski - Bradley Brooks	4:6 ✺
09.04.25	Krzysztof Ratajski - Owen Bates	5:6 ✺
04.04.25	Ricardo Pietreczko - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:2 ✺
01.04.25	Darius Labanauskas - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
12.11.23	Michael Smith - Krzysztof Ratajski	5:4
29.01.22	Michael Smith - Krzysztof Ratajski	10:6 best of 19 legs
11.12.20	Michael Smith - Krzysztof Ratajski	2:4 best of 7 legs
03.12.20	Krzysztof Ratajski - Michael Smith	2:4 best of 7 legs
19.11.20	Michael Smith - Krzysztof Ratajski	5:2 best of 9 legs
19.09.20	Michael Smith - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:4 best of 11 legs
23.07.20	Krzysztof Ratajski - Michael Smith	13:16 best of 31 legs

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