Match Info

Grand Slam - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday

Location: WV Active Aldersley (Wolverhampton)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+
World	PDC TV


	Luke Humphries		Michael Smith

	1	2
	1.1	7	Watch
	1.08	5.6	Watch
	1.11	5.36	Watch
	1.09	6.15	Watch
	1.11	5.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.11)	5.93 ↑ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Humphries
84.4%

Michael Smith
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.8%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Humphries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Luke Humphries - Michael Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Humphries will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Humphries (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 16:8

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Preview

Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 1. Smith is ranked World Ranking: 30.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 4.

Humphries has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Smith has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Humphries is the obvious favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 89:84. (average 5.2:4.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Humphries
Darts
12.11.25	Luke Humphries - Jurjen van der Velde	10:3 ✺
10.11.25	Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall	5:3 ✺
09.11.25	Luke Humphries - Michael Smith	5:3 ✺
08.11.25	Luke Humphries - Alex Spellman	5:0 ✺
26.10.25	Danny Noppert - Luke Humphries	8:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW
- Michael Smith
Darts
12.11.25	Chris Dobey - Michael Smith	9:10 ✺
10.11.25	Michael Smith - Alex Spellman	5:2 ✺
09.11.25	Luke Humphries - Michael Smith	5:3 ✺
08.11.25	Nathan Aspinall - Michael Smith	3:5 ✺
01.10.25	Jonny Clayton - Michael Smith	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
09.11.25	Luke Humphries - Michael Smith	5:3
25.05.25	Luke Humphries - Michael Smith	6:0
04.05.25	Luke Humphries - Michael Smith	5:6
23.03.25	Luke Humphries - Michael Smith	6:5
17.08.24	Luke Humphries - Michael Smith	6:4
15.06.24	Luke Humphries - Michael Smith	5:6
16.05.24	Michael Smith - Luke Humphries	6:3

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