The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Michael Smith 73.4%
Mike Van Duivenbode 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
72.4%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Michael Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Mike Van Duivenbode has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
69.2%
0%
30.8%
Michael Smith - Mike Van Duivenbode Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Van Duivenbode will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Smith: 44.1% – 94.3%.