Match Info

PDC World Championship - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Alexandra Palace (London) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:


	Michael Smith		Niels Zonneveld

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Michael Smith
50%

Niels Zonneveld
50%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Smith's form might have worsened.

Niels Zonneveld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Niels Zonneveld's recent form is better than expected.

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Users Predictions: Michael Smith will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Michael Smith will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

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Smith is ranked World Ranking: 28. Zonneveld is ranked World Ranking: 44.

In recent matches, Smith has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Smith
Darts
11.12.25	Michael Smith - Lisa Ashton	3:0 ✺
21.11.25	Martin Schindler - Michael Smith	6:4 ✺
14.11.25	Luke Humphries - Michael Smith	16:8 ✺
12.11.25	Chris Dobey - Michael Smith	9:10 ✺
10.11.25	Michael Smith - Alex Spellman	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWW
- Niels Zonneveld
Darts
12.12.25	Niels Zonneveld - Haupai Puha	3:0 ✺
21.11.25	Niels Zonneveld - Nick Kenny	4:6 ✺
18.10.25	Gian Van Veen - Niels Zonneveld	6:4 ✺
17.10.25	Niels Zonneveld - Darius Labanauskas	6:2 ✺
27.09.25	Ryan Searle - Niels Zonneveld	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL

Michael Smith - Niels Zonneveld