Match Info

EUROPE: European Tour 4 - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Glaspalast (Sindelfingen)


	Michael Smith		Raymond Van Barneveld

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.5
	1.47	2.5
	1.58	2.37
	1.58	2.37
	1.5	2.6
	1.49	2.57
	1.48	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.4)	2.51 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Smith
62.4%

Raymond Van Barneveld
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Raymond Van Barneveld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raymond Van Barneveld than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Michael Smith - Raymond Van Barneveld Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Smith won 3.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Van Barneveld could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Smith is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Smith won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 80-56.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Smith
Darts
18.04.24	Michael Smith - Nathan Aspinall	4:6
18.04.24	Michael Smith - Gerwyn Price	6:5 ✺
18.04.24	Michael Smith - Luke Littler	6:3 ✺
13.04.24	Michael Smith - Ritchie Edhouse	5:6 ✺
11.04.24	Gerwyn Price - Michael Smith	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWLW
- Raymond Van Barneveld
Darts
19.04.24	Franz Rotzsch - Raymond Van Barneveld	2:6 ✺
12.04.24	Gian Van Veen - Raymond Van Barneveld	6:3 ✺
30.03.24	Raymond Van Barneveld - Gian Van Veen	5:6 ✺
19.03.24	Raymond Van Barneveld - Ronny Huybrechts	6:1 ✺
18.03.24	Raymond Van Barneveld - Oskar Lukasiak	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
26.10.23	Michael Smith - Raymond Van Barneveld	6:1
16.09.23	Michael Smith - Raymond Van Barneveld	4:6
20.11.22	Raymond Van Barneveld - Michael Smith	12:16 best of 31 legs
13.11.21	Michael Smith - Raymond Van Barneveld	5:4 best of 9 legs
25.05.19	Michael Smith - Raymond Van Barneveld	3:6 best of 11 legs
28.02.19	Michael Smith - Raymond Van Barneveld	7:4 best of 12 legs
13.11.18	Michael Smith - Raymond Van Barneveld	5:0 best of 9 legs

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