Match Info

WORLD: Premier League - Night 11 - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Utilita Arena (Birmingham)


	Gerwyn Price		Michael Smith

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.56	2.31
	1.61	2.34
	1.61	2.34
	1.62	2.3
	1.65	2.26
	1.58	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.72)	2.32 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gerwyn Price
59.1%

Michael Smith
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerwyn Price has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerwyn Price than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gerwyn Price that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gerwyn Price - Michael Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

#ad

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Price won 2.

Price is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Smith is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Smith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Price won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 110-102.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gerwyn Price
Darts
09.04.24	Gerwyn Price - Danny Noppert	3:6
04.04.24	Gerwyn Price - Peter Wright	6:4 ✺
01.04.24	Josh Rock - Gerwyn Price	5:6 ✺
01.04.24	Gerwyn Price - Ryan Searle	6:0 ✺
31.03.24	Gerwyn Price - Peter Wright	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWW
- Michael Smith
Darts
04.04.24	Michael Smith - Luke Humphries	6:3 ✺
01.04.24	Josh Rock - Michael Smith	6:4 ✺
31.03.24	Michael Smith - Cameron Menzies	6:4 ✺
28.03.24	Michael Smith - Michael Van Gerwen	4:6 ✺
21.03.24	Gerwyn Price - Michael Smith	5:6
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
21.03.24	Gerwyn Price - Michael Smith	5:6
08.02.24	Michael Smith - Gerwyn Price	6:5
07.10.23	Michael Smith - Gerwyn Price	2:4 best of 5 sets
20.04.23	Michael Smith - Gerwyn Price	3:6
10.04.23	Michael Smith - Gerwyn Price	6:2
26.03.23	Michael Smith - Gerwyn Price	2:6
23.02.23	Michael Smith - Gerwyn Price	1:6

Upcoming Matches