Match Info

Date: 15 October 2021, Friday


	Michael Smith		Ryan Searle

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.9	1.9
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.77	1.94
	1.83	1.99
	1.8	1.95
	1.83	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.73)	1.96 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Smith
51.9%

Ryan Searle
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Ryan Searle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Searle than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Michael Smith - Ryan Searle Predictions

Users Predictions: Michael Smith will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:6

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Searle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Smith won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Smith
Darts
03.10.21	Gerwyn Price - Michael Smith	2:0 best of 5 sets ✺
25.09.21	Michael Smith - Simon Whitlock	2:6 best of 11 legs ✺
05.09.21	Peter Wright - Michael Smith	2:6 best of 11 legs ✺
05.09.21	Michael Smith - Keane Barry	6:1 best of 11 legs ✺
04.09.21	Michael Smith - John Michael	6:3 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWW
- Ryan Searle
Darts
07.10.21	Stephen Bunting - Ryan Searle	3:1 best of 5 sets ✺
05.10.21	Ryan Searle - Luke Humphries	3:1 best of 5 sets ✺
03.10.21	Dimitri van den Bergh - Ryan Searle	1:2 best of 5 sets ✺
25.09.21	Krzysztof Ratajski - Ryan Searle	6:3 best of 11 legs ✺
24.09.21	Ryan Searle - Martin Schindler	6:5 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
18.07.21	Michael Smith - Ryan Searle	10:7 best of 19 legs
03.12.20	Michael Smith - Ryan Searle	1:4 best of 7 legs
01.12.20	Ryan Searle - Michael Smith	1:4 best of 7 legs
28.12.18	Ryan Searle - Michael Smith	1:4 best of 5 sets

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