Match Info

World Matchplay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday

Location: Winter Gardens (Blackpool)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Sports 505
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports Main Event


	Michael Van Gerwen		Raymond Van Barneveld

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.36	2.7	Watch
	1.50	2.36	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.41	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)	2.78 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
66.3%

Raymond Van Barneveld
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Raymond Van Barneveld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raymond Van Barneveld than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Michael Van Gerwen - Raymond Van Barneveld Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Van Gerwen will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Van Barneveld will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Gerwen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:7

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3. Van Barneveld is ranked World Ranking: 36.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 4.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Van Gerwen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Van Gerwen could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 133:99. (average 6.7:5).

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Van Gerwen - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 65.48%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
05.07.25	Robert Cross - Michael Van Gerwen	6:4 ✺
04.07.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Pero Ljubic	6:4 ✺
28.06.25	Gerwyn Price - Michael Van Gerwen	6:3 ✺
27.06.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Leonard Gates	6:1 ✺
24.05.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Michael Mansell	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLW?
- Raymond Van Barneveld
Darts
11.07.25	Raymond Van Barneveld - Andy Baetens	4:6 ✺
08.07.25	Raymond Van Barneveld - William Borland	6:3 ✺
29.06.25	Ross Montgomery - Raymond Van Barneveld	6:3 ✺
29.06.25	Neil Duff - Raymond Van Barneveld	1:5 ✺
19.06.25	Raymond Van Barneveld - Robert Owen	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
27.01.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Raymond Van Barneveld	6:5
01.07.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Raymond Van Barneveld	3:6
25.03.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Raymond Van Barneveld	6:4
27.11.21	Michael Van Gerwen - Raymond Van Barneveld	6:3 best of 11 legs
26.05.19	Michael Van Gerwen - Raymond Van Barneveld	6:5 best of 11 legs
28.04.19	Michael Van Gerwen - Raymond Van Barneveld	6:5 best of 11 legs
28.03.19	Raymond Van Barneveld - Michael Van Gerwen	1:7 best of 12 legs

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