Match Info

Premier League - Night 15 - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Utilita Arena (Birmingham)


	Gerwyn Price		Michael Van Gerwen

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.84	1.9
	1.8	2
	1.87	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.73)	1.94 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gerwyn Price
51.5%

Michael Van Gerwen
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerwyn Price has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gerwyn Price than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Gerwyn Price - Michael Van Gerwen Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Price will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Van Gerwen will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Price is ranked World Ranking: 8. Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Price won 3.

Price has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Van Gerwen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Price may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Price won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 106:118. (average 5.3:5.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Gerwyn Price - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.48%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Michael Van Gerwen - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.52%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gerwyn Price
Darts
07.05.26	Gerwyn Price - Jonny Clayton	2:6 ✺
30.04.26	Luke Littler - Gerwyn Price	6:1 ✺
30.04.26	Stephen Bunting - Gerwyn Price	5:6 ✺
23.04.26	Gian Van Veen - Gerwyn Price	6:4 ✺
19.04.26	Wessel Nijman - Gerwyn Price	8:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
10.05.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Robert Cross	4:6 ✺
09.05.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:3 ✺
07.05.26	Luke Littler - Michael Van Gerwen	6:5 ✺
30.04.26	Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen	6:3 ✺
23.04.26	Josh Rock - Michael Van Gerwen	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
26.02.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Gerwyn Price	5:6
28.06.25	Gerwyn Price - Michael Van Gerwen	6:3
03.04.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Gerwyn Price	Price G.
23.03.25	Gerwyn Price - Michael Van Gerwen	4:6
13.03.25	Gerwyn Price - Michael Van Gerwen	6:1
06.03.25	Gerwyn Price - Michael Van Gerwen	3:6
09.05.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Gerwyn Price	6:3

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