Match Info

WORLD: World Matchplay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Winter Gardens (Blackpool)


	Nathan Aspinall		James Wade

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	1.96	1.77
	2.02	1.81
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.99	1.82
	1.97	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.76)	1.79 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 18.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Aspinall
47.3%

James Wade
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Aspinall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nathan Aspinall's form might have worsened.

James Wade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting James Wade's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Wade than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Nathan Aspinall - James Wade Predictions

Users Predictions: James Wade will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 9:11

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
13.07.24	Nathan Aspinall - Luke Woodhouse	10:8 ✺
02.07.24	Damon Heta - Nathan Aspinall	3:6 ✺
14.06.24	Nathan Aspinall - Boris Krcmar	4:6 ✺
12.06.24	Steve Lennon - Nathan Aspinall	2:6
08.06.24	Michael Smith - Nathan Aspinall	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWL
- James Wade
Darts
14.07.24	Danny Noppert - James Wade	5:10 ✺
03.07.24	James Wade - Lukas Wenig	6:1 ✺
02.07.24	James Wade - Alan Soutar	6:3 ✺
21.06.24	Michael Smith - James Wade	6:5 ✺
11.06.24	James Wade - Jurjen van der Velde	6:4
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
14.10.23	Nathan Aspinall - James Wade	4:6
19.07.22	James Wade - Nathan Aspinall	9:11 best of 21 legs
27.02.22	Nathan Aspinall - James Wade	6:2 best of 11 legs
26.09.21	James Wade - Nathan Aspinall	2:6 best of 11 legs
25.05.21	James Wade - Nathan Aspinall	7:7 best of 14 legs
07.04.21	Nathan Aspinall - James Wade	7:4 best of 12 legs
30.10.20	Nathan Aspinall - James Wade	8:10 best of 19 legs

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