Match Info

European Tour 13 - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: XPO Antwerp (Antwerp)


	Damon Heta		Nathan Aspinall

	1	2
	2.30	1.62
	2.38	1.58
	2.39	1.54	Watch
	2.31	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.35)	1.58 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damon Heta
40.2%

Nathan Aspinall
59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Damon Heta have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Nathan Aspinall have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damon Heta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nathan Aspinall could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Heta is ranked World Ranking: 23. Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 16.

Heta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aspinall has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aspinall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aspinall might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Aspinall will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:35. (average 5.4:7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damon Heta
Darts
13.09.26	Damon Heta - Luke Woodhouse	6:3 ✺
12.09.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Damon Heta	5:6 ✺
11.09.26	Damon Heta - Beau Greaves	6:5 ✺
05.09.26	Jonny Clayton - Damon Heta	6:2 ✺
04.09.26	Damon Heta - Karel Sedlacek	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLW
- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
13.09.26	Stephen Bunting - Nathan Aspinall	4:6 ✺
12.09.26	Nathan Aspinall - Niko Springer	6:1 ✺
05.09.26	Nathan Aspinall - Andrew Gilding	2:6 ✺
30.08.26	Gary Anderson - Nathan Aspinall	7:6 ✺
30.08.26	Nathan Aspinall - Chris Dobey	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
02.07.24	Damon Heta - Nathan Aspinall	3:6
02.03.24	Damon Heta - Nathan Aspinall	10:9
12.11.23	Nathan Aspinall - Damon Heta	5:2
16.10.21	Nathan Aspinall - Damon Heta	10:6 best of 19 legs

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damon Heta
Darts
09.10.26	Damon Heta - Alexander Fehlmann	✺

Damon Heta - Nathan Aspinall: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide