Match Info

Date: 2 September 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Paul Hogan		James Hurrell

	1	2
	2	1.72	Watch
	1.87	1.87
	1.87	1.8
	1.91	1.8
	1.94	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2)	1.79 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paul Hogan
48.3%

James Hurrell
51.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paul Hogan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

James Hurrell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paul Hogan than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paul Hogan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Hurrell than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Hurrell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Paul Hogan - James Hurrell Predictions

Users Predictions: James Hurrell will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Preview

Hogan is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hurrell is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Hogan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Hurrell to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hogan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paul Hogan
Darts
02.09.22	Danny Smith - Paul Hogan	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
02.09.22	Paul Hogan - Christian Kist	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
02.09.22	Stephen Burton - Paul Hogan	3:4 best of 7 legs ✺
01.09.22	Paul Hogan - Stephen Burton	4:0 best of 7 legs ✺
01.09.22	Christian Kist - Paul Hogan	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWL
- James Hurrell
Darts
02.09.22	James Hurrell - Christian Kist	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
02.09.22	James Hurrell - Stephen Burton	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
02.09.22	Danny Smith - James Hurrell	3:4 best of 7 legs ✺
01.09.22	Stephen Burton - James Hurrell	0:4 best of 7 legs ✺
01.09.22	Christian Kist - James Hurrell	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
01.09.22	James Hurrell - Paul Hogan	4:2 best of 7 legs

Paul Hogan - James Hurrell