Match Info

PDC World Championship - 1/32-finals

Date: 23 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Alexandra Palace (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Darts


	Peter Wright		Arno Merk

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.49	2.4	Watch
	1.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.36)	2.6 ↓ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peter Wright
63.7%

Arno Merk
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peter Wright has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peter Wright's form might have worsened.

Arno Merk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arno Merk's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Peter Wright - Arno Merk Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Wright will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Merk will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Merk: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arno Merk will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

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Preview

Wright is ranked World Ranking: 30. Merk is ranked World Ranking: 163.

Wright has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, Wright is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peter Wright
Darts
15.12.25	Peter Wright - Noa-Lynn van Leuven	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Peter Wright - James Wade	4:6 ✺
21.11.25	Joe Cullen - Peter Wright	3:6 ✺
23.10.25	Ross Smith - Peter Wright	6:2 ✺
19.10.25	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Peter Wright	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL
- Arno Merk
Darts
11.12.25	Kim Huybrechts - Arno Merk	1:3 ✺
07.11.24	Leon Weber - Arno Merk	6:4 ✺
05.11.24	Arno Merk - Patrick Tringler	6:4 ✺
19.04.24	Arno Merk - Luke Littler	0:6 ✺
09.11.23	Pascal Rupprecht - Arno Merk	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLL

Peter Wright - Arno Merk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide