Match Info

European Championship - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Westfalenhalle (Dortmund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 2
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	ITV 4
World	PDC TV


	Ross Smith		Peter Wright

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.37	3.05
	1.31	2.97	Watch
	1.37	2.9
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)	2.97 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ross Smith
68.6%

Peter Wright
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ross Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Peter Wright has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ross Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peter Wright than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peter Wright could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ross Smith - Peter Wright Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Wright will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Smith is ranked World Ranking: 14. Wright is ranked World Ranking: 18.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smith won 3.

Smith has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wright has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wright may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Smith will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Smith won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:45. (average 5.1:6.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Ross Smith - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.88%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ross Smith
Darts
18.10.25	Ross Smith - Nathan Aspinall	4:6 ✺
07.10.25	Ross Smith - Daryl Gurney	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Ross Smith - Ritchie Edhouse	Edhouse R. ✺
20.09.25	Ross Smith - Cameron Menzies	4:6 ✺
14.09.25	Luke Littler - Ross Smith	10:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LL?LL
- Peter Wright
Darts
19.10.25	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Peter Wright	6:5 ✺
19.10.25	Cameron Menzies - Peter Wright	4:6 ✺
18.10.25	Peter Wright - Ricardo Pietreczko	6:5 ✺
07.10.25	Peter Wright - Mike De Decker	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Mike De Decker - Peter Wright	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
27.04.25	Peter Wright - Ross Smith	5:6
30.10.22	Peter Wright - Ross Smith	8:10 best of 19 legs
11.09.22	Peter Wright - Ross Smith	6:2 best of 11 legs
21.04.19	Peter Wright - Ross Smith	4:6 best of 11 legs
24.03.19	Peter Wright - Ross Smith	6:3 best of 11 legs
18.08.18	Peter Wright - Ross Smith	10:4 best of 19 legs
14.02.15	Peter Wright - Ross Smith	6:5

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