Match Info

Date: 19 November 2020, Thursday


	Peter Wright		Devon Petersen

	1	2
	1.5	2.62	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.5	2.6
	1.47	2.5
	1.5	2.64
	1.5	2.5
	1.52	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.48)	2.57 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peter Wright
63.2%

Devon Petersen
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peter Wright has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Devon Petersen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peter Wright than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peter Wright that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Devon Petersen than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Devon Petersen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Peter Wright - Devon Petersen Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Wright will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Petersen will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wright: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Preview

Wright is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Petersen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wright will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wright won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peter Wright
Darts
17.11.20	Peter Wright - Ian White	5:3 best of 9 legs ✺
16.11.20	Peter Wright - Dirk van Duijvenbode	4:5 best of 9 legs ✺
12.11.20	Peter Wright - Simon Whitlock	1:6 best of 11 legs
01.11.20	Peter Wright - Jonny Clayton	11:8 best of 21 legs ✺
31.10.20	Peter Wright - Steve West	10:6 best of 19 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- Devon Petersen
Darts
17.11.20	Devon Petersen - Dirk van Duijvenbode	5:2 best of 9 legs ✺
16.11.20	Ian White - Devon Petersen	2:5 best of 9 legs ✺
13.11.20	Devon Petersen - Ryan Murray	3:6 best of 11 legs
01.11.20	James Wade - Devon Petersen	11:10 best of 21 legs ✺
31.10.20	Devon Petersen - Ian White	10:6 best of 19 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
11.07.15	Peter Wright - Devon Petersen	5:6 best of 11 legs

Peter Wright - Devon Petersen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide