Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday


	Robert Thornton		Alex Spellman

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.82	1.82
	1.88	1.78	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)	1.82 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Robert Thornton
49.5%

Alex Spellman
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Robert Thornton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Alex Spellman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Robert Thornton than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Robert Thornton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Spellman than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Spellman, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Robert Thornton - Alex Spellman Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Spellman is ranked World Ranking: 149.

Thornton is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Spellman has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Spellman may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Spellman - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Robert Thornton
Darts
17.12.25	Graham Usher - Robert Thornton	3:2 ✺
17.12.25	Robert Thornton - Richie Burnett	3:0 ✺
17.12.25	Robert Thornton - Kevin Painter	1:3 ✺
17.12.25	Neil Duff - Robert Thornton	3:0 ✺
16.12.25	Robert Thornton - Neil Duff	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLL
- Alex Spellman
Darts
17.12.25	Alex Spellman - Neil Duff	1:3 ✺
17.12.25	Kevin Painter - Alex Spellman	1:3 ✺
17.12.25	Graham Usher - Alex Spellman	1:3 ✺
17.12.25	Alex Spellman - Richie Burnett	3:1 ✺
16.12.25	Alex Spellman - Graham Usher	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWL

Robert Thornton - Alex Spellman: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide