Match Info

Date: 6 October 2020, Tuesday


	Ross Smith		Barrie Bates

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.25	3.6	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.31	3.15
	1.33	3.25
	1.31	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	3.31 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ross Smith
71.7%

Barrie Bates
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ross Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Barrie Bates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ross Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrie Bates than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barrie Bates could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ross Smith - Barrie Bates Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Preview

Smith is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bates is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Smith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Smith is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ross Smith
Darts
06.10.20	Luke Woodhouse - Ross Smith	2:5 best of 9 legs ✺
06.10.20	Ross Smith - Joe Murnan	3:5 best of 9 legs ✺
09.09.20	Ross Smith - William OConnor	5:1 best of 9 legs ✺
09.09.20	Ron Meulenkamp - Ross Smith	2:5 best of 9 legs ✺
09.09.20	Ryan Meikle - Ross Smith	5:3 best of 9 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWL
- Barrie Bates
Darts
06.10.20	Barrie Bates - Luke Humphries	0:5 best of 9 legs ✺
06.10.20	Mike De Decker - Barrie Bates	5:3 best of 9 legs ✺
23.09.20	Nick Kenny - Barrie Bates	5:2 best of 9 legs ✺
23.09.20	Barrie Bates - Krzysztof Kciuk	3:5 best of 9 legs ✺
23.09.20	Ricky Evans - Barrie Bates	2:5 best of 9 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLLW

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