Match Info

WORLD: PDC WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 December 2023, Thursday

Location: Alexandra Palace (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	V Sport Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	Sport 1, DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay


	Ross Smith		Chris Dobey

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.9
	1.86	1.86
	2.02	1.81
	1.91	1.91
	1.95	1.85
	1.91	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2)	1.85 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ross Smith
48.9%

Chris Dobey
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ross Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Chris Dobey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chris Dobey than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.8%	0%	96.2%

Ross Smith - Chris Dobey Predictions

Users Predictions: Chris Dobey will win (25 of 26 users predict this - 96.15%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.75% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Smith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Smith won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ross Smith
Darts
20.12.23	Ross Smith - Niels Zonneveld	3:1 best of 5 sets ✺
25.11.23	Ross Smith - Michael Van Gerwen	1:6 ✺
24.11.23	Ross Smith - Scott Williams	6:2 ✺
02.11.23	Ross Smith - Adam Smith-Neale	6:4
27.10.23	Ricardo Pietreczko - Ross Smith	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWWL
- Chris Dobey
Darts
22.12.23	Chris Dobey - William OConnor	3:2 best of 5 sets ✺
25.11.23	Dave Chisnall - Chris Dobey	6:4 ✺
24.11.23	Chris Dobey - Raymond Van Barneveld	6:3 ✺
15.11.23	James Wade - Chris Dobey	10:8 ✺
13.11.23	Jonny Clayton - Chris Dobey	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
30.10.22	Chris Dobey - Ross Smith	9:11 best of 21 legs
13.10.20	Chris Dobey - Ross Smith	4:5 best of 9 legs

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