Match Info

European Tour 10 - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Ostermann Arena (Leverkusen)


	Ross Smith		Niels Zonneveld

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.52	2.45
	1.58	2.28	Watch
	1.59	2.32
	1.55	2.35	Watch
	1.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.58)	2.35 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ross Smith
60.1%

Niels Zonneveld
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ross Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Niels Zonneveld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ross Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niels Zonneveld than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Niels Zonneveld could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ross Smith - Niels Zonneveld Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

#ad

Preview

Smith is ranked World Ranking: 15. Zonneveld is ranked World Ranking: 37.

Smith is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zonneveld has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Smith might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Smith won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 4.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Ross Smith - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.07%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ross Smith
Darts
21.06.26	Ross Smith - Wessel Nijman	6:7 ✺
21.06.26	Andrew Gilding - Ross Smith	4:6 ✺
21.06.26	Chris Dobey - Ross Smith	4:6 ✺
20.06.26	Ross Smith - Joe Cullen	6:5 ✺
17.06.26	Ross Smith - Samuel Price	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWW
- Niels Zonneveld
Darts
10.07.26	Niels Zonneveld - Daniel Klose	6:2 ✺
20.06.26	Stephen Bunting - Niels Zonneveld	6:5 ✺
19.06.26	Niels Zonneveld - Jan Sliacky	6:1 ✺
30.05.26	James Wade - Niels Zonneveld	6:2 ✺
29.05.26	Niels Zonneveld - Richard Veenstra	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
09.05.26	Ross Smith - Niels Zonneveld	6:3
20.12.23	Ross Smith - Niels Zonneveld	3:1 best of 5 sets

Upcoming Matches