Match Info

European Tour 15 - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: MECC Maastricht (Maastricht) 🌤️ ...


	Ryan Joyce		Owen Bates

	1	2
	1.53	2.50	Watch
	1.56	2.35
	1.54	2.39	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.51	2.39
	1.52	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.52)	2.39 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Joyce
60.9%

Owen Bates
39.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Joyce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Owen Bates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Ryan Joyce - Owen Bates Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Joyce is ranked World Ranking: 24., and Bates is ranked World Ranking: 102..

Joyce has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Joyce may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Joyce holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Joyce has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 2.5:3 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Ryan Joyce - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 62.55%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Joyce
Darts
02.10.26	Nathan Aspinall - Ryan Joyce	3:0 ✺
30.09.26	Danny Noppert - Ryan Joyce	0:3 ✺
28.09.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Ryan Joyce	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ryan Joyce - Ross Smith	5:6 ✺
13.09.26	Ryan Joyce - Jermaine Wattimena	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWLW
- Owen Bates
Darts
19.06.26	Kevin Doets - Owen Bates	6:3 ✺
13.05.26	Owen Bates - Madars Razma	3:6 ✺
05.05.26	Nathan Potter - Owen Bates	5:6 ✺
14.04.26	Tom Bissell - Owen Bates	2:6 ✺
06.03.26	Niall Culleton - Owen Bates	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
09.02.26	Ryan Joyce - Owen Bates	2:6
18.12.25	Ryan Joyce - Owen Bates	3:0

Ryan Joyce - Owen Bates