Match Info

EUROPE: European Tour 12 - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: St. Jakobshalle (Basel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Stephen Bunting		Michael Smith

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.81	1.92
	1.88	1.93
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.79	1.95
	1.81	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.01)	1.95 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stephen Bunting
51.9%

Michael Smith
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stephen Bunting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stephen Bunting's performance.

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Smith might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stephen Bunting than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stephen Bunting that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stephen Bunting - Michael Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

#ad

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stephen Bunting
Darts
22.09.24	Ross Smith - Stephen Bunting	6:5 ✺
22.09.24	Stephen Bunting - Martin Schindler	6:4 ✺
21.09.24	Stephen Bunting - Cor Dekker	6:2 ✺
18.09.24	Thibault Tricole - Stephen Bunting	5:6
13.09.24	Boris Krcmar - Stephen Bunting	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWL
- Michael Smith
Darts
27.09.24	Ian White - Michael Smith	5:6 ✺
25.09.24	Michael Smith - Danny Lauby Jr.	6:1 ✺
24.09.24	Michael Smith - Brett Claydon	6:3 ✺
20.09.24	Michael Smith - Jonny Clayton	3:6 ✺
17.09.24	Michael Smith - Rhys Griffin	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
01.01.23	Michael Smith - Stephen Bunting	5:3 best of 5 sets
16.06.21	Michael Smith - Stephen Bunting	2:6 best of 11 legs
26.10.19	Michael Smith - Stephen Bunting	10:7 best of 19 legs
12.05.18	Michael Smith - Stephen Bunting	0:6 best of 11 legs
28.10.16	Michael Smith - Stephen Bunting	5:6 best of 11 legs
18.09.16	Michael Smith - Stephen Bunting	2:6 best of 11 legs
31.07.16	Michael Smith - Stephen Bunting	3:6 best of 11 legs

Upcoming Matches