Match Info

EUROPE: European Tour 11 - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: MVM Dome (Budapest)


	Michael Smith		Jonny Clayton

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.28
	1.62	2.29
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.61	2.24
	1.57	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.56)	2.29 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Smith
59%

Jonny Clayton
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Jonny Clayton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonny Clayton than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jonny Clayton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Michael Smith - Jonny Clayton Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Smith is ranked World Ranking: 2. Clayton is ranked World Ranking: 8.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Smith won 2.

Smith in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Clayton is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Smith could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Smith will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Smith won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 89-71.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Smith
Darts
17.09.24	Michael Smith - Rhys Griffin	6:1 ✺
15.09.24	Peter Wright - Michael Smith	6:11 ✺
15.09.24	Robert Cross - Michael Smith	9:10 ✺
14.09.24	Michael Smith - Wessel Nijman	6:5 ✺
14.09.24	Michael Smith - Jose Oliveira De Sousa	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW
- Jonny Clayton
Darts
13.09.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Jonny Clayton	6:4 ✺
06.09.24	Jonny Clayton - Dirk van Duijvenbode	2:6 ✺
31.08.24	Ryan Searle - Jonny Clayton	6:4 ✺
30.08.24	Martin Lukeman - Jonny Clayton	5:6 ✺
02.08.24	Jonny Clayton - Florian Hempel	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
13.04.23	Jonny Clayton - Michael Smith	4:6
09.02.23	Michael Smith - Jonny Clayton	6:3
27.08.22	Jonny Clayton - Michael Smith	7:5 best of 13 legs
20.08.22	Michael Smith - Jonny Clayton	4:6 best of 11 legs
19.05.22	Jonny Clayton - Michael Smith	6:4 best of 11 legs
12.05.22	Michael Smith - Jonny Clayton	6:5 best of 11 legs
31.03.22	Jonny Clayton - Michael Smith	6:1 best of 11 legs

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