Match Info

European Tour 13 - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: St. Jakobshalle (Basel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Net4+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Stephen Bunting		Raymond Van Barneveld

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.31	3
	1.31	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stephen Bunting
71.4%

Raymond Van Barneveld
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stephen Bunting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Raymond Van Barneveld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stephen Bunting than the current prediction. (-26.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stephen Bunting that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raymond Van Barneveld than the current prediction. (+26.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raymond Van Barneveld could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stephen Bunting - Raymond Van Barneveld Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Bunting is ranked World Ranking: 4. Van Barneveld is ranked World Ranking: 34.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bunting won 2.

Bunting has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Van Barneveld is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bunting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bunting is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bunting won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:39. (average 4.1:5.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stephen Bunting
Darts
28.09.25	Stephen Bunting - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:3 ✺
27.09.25	Stephen Bunting - Chris Landman	6:3 ✺
20.09.25	Stephen Bunting - Thibault Tricole	5:6 ✺
12.09.25	Stephen Bunting - Danny Noppert	4:6 ✺
07.09.25	Stephen Bunting - James Wade	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL
- Raymond Van Barneveld
Darts
28.09.25	Raymond Van Barneveld - Ritchie Edhouse	6:0 ✺
27.09.25	Damon Heta - Raymond Van Barneveld	5:6 ✺
26.09.25	Raymond Van Barneveld - Ansh Sood	6:3 ✺
21.09.25	Gerwyn Price - Raymond Van Barneveld	6:2 ✺
20.09.25	Dave Chisnall - Raymond Van Barneveld	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
25.01.25	Stephen Bunting - Raymond Van Barneveld	6:5
25.02.21	Stephen Bunting - Raymond Van Barneveld	6:5 best of 11 legs
27.12.15	Raymond Van Barneveld - Stephen Bunting	4:3 best of 7 sets
19.09.15	Stephen Bunting - Raymond Van Barneveld	2:6 best of 11 legs
14.05.15	Raymond Van Barneveld - Stephen Bunting	7:4 best of 12 legs
26.02.15	Stephen Bunting - Raymond Van Barneveld	4:7
02.01.15	Stephen Bunting - Raymond Van Barneveld	4:5

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