Match Info

Date: 28 October 2020, Wednesday


	Steve Beaton		Nathan Derry

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.25	3.6	Watch
	1.3	3.6
	1.22	3.85
	1.2	4.33
	1.25	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.3)	3.86 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Steve Beaton
75.7%

Nathan Derry
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Steve Beaton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Nathan Derry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Steve Beaton than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Steve Beaton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Derry than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nathan Derry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Steve Beaton - Nathan Derry Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Beaton is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Derry has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Beaton is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Beaton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Steve Beaton
Darts
28.10.20	Gary Blades - Steve Beaton	1:4 best of 7 legs ✺
28.10.20	Steve Beaton - Richard North	3:4 best of 7 legs ✺
24.09.20	Kim Huybrechts - Steve Beaton	5:1 best of 9 legs ✺
24.09.20	Steve Beaton - John Michael	1:5 best of 9 legs ✺
24.09.20	Steve Beaton - Matthew Edgar	5:1 best of 9 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLW
- Nathan Derry
Darts
28.10.20	Joe Murnan - Nathan Derry	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
28.10.20	Nathan Derry - Gary Blades	1:4 best of 7 legs ✺
02.09.20	Lisa Ashton - Nathan Derry	5:0 best of 9 legs ✺
02.09.20	Nathan Derry - Martijn Kleermaker	2:5 best of 9 legs ✺
02.09.20	Krzysztof Kciuk - Nathan Derry	5:4 best of 9 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
20.04.19	Steve Beaton - Nathan Derry	1:6 best of 11 legs

Steve Beaton - Nathan Derry: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide