Match Info

European Tour 3 - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: WT Energiesysteme Arena (Riesa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Wessel Nijman		Radoslav Szaganski

	1	2
	1.33	3.4
	1.35	2.95
	1.27	3.2
	1.33	3	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.31	3.31
	1.27	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	3.19 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wessel Nijman
70.9%

Radoslav Szaganski
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wessel Nijman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Radoslav Szaganski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wessel Nijman than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wessel Nijman that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radoslav Szaganski than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radoslav Szaganski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wessel Nijman - Radoslav Szaganski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Nijman is ranked World Ranking: 48. Szaganski is ranked World Ranking: 76.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Szaganski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nijman is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wessel Nijman
Darts
01.04.25	Wessel Nijman - Gabriel Clemens	1:6 ✺
23.03.25	Gerwyn Price - Wessel Nijman	6:3 ✺
22.03.25	Danny Noppert - Wessel Nijman	5:6 ✺
21.03.25	Wessel Nijman - Paul Krohne	6:5 ✺
08.03.25	Jonny Clayton - Wessel Nijman	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWWL
- Radoslav Szaganski
Darts
11.03.25	Radoslav Szaganski - Brendan Dolan	4:6 ✺
28.02.25	Stephen Burton - Radoslav Szaganski	10:6 ✺
28.02.25	Radoslav Szaganski - Cameron Crabtree	6:4 ✺
28.02.25	Radoslav Szaganski - Benjamin Drue-Reus	6:5 ✺
11.02.25	Patrick Geeraets - Radoslav Szaganski	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWWW

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