The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Akerselva 28.1%
Draw 16.4%
Gjelleråsen 55.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.5%
17.3%
56.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
20.7%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akerselva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Gjelleråsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akerselva than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gjelleråsen than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gjelleråsen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (6 - 4)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
3rd Period (2 - 4)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akerselva won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Akerselva (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Gjelleråsen have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Akerselva may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Akerselva has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Gjelleråsen holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Akerselva has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 126:120 (averaging 6.3:6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Akerselva against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 54:44 goals (averaging 6:4.9 per game).