Match Info

Inssi-Divari

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Josba Joensuu		SalBa Rauma

	1	X	2
	2.9	4.75	1.8
	3.8	5.75	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.8)	5.25 ↓ (5.75)	1.66 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Josba Joensuu
27.4%

Draw
17.5%

SalBa Rauma
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

15.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

18.6%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Josba Joensuu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

SalBa Rauma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Josba Joensuu than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SalBa Rauma than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
12:56, Lehtoniemi J. (G), Osmonen R. (A),
14:18, Kiiskinen J. (G), Tahka R. (A),
14:42, Virtanen J. (G), Hiltunen Joni (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:47, Korhonen E. (G), Miettinen V. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
04:13, Korhonen E. (G), Hiltunen Joni (A),
08:29, Osmonen R. (G), Lannisto N. (A),
15:24, Korhonen E. (G), Vallius N. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Josba won 2.

Josba has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

SalBa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Josba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, SalBa is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Josba won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 70:66. (average 5.4:5.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Josba won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:32. (average 6.3:5.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	W	W	L	L	L		Pts
12	SalBa	6	1	0	0	1	0	4	29:34	4
14	Josba	4	1	0	0	0	0	3	19:20	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Josba Joensuu
Finnish Divari
25.01.26	Josba Joensuu - SaiPa	5:0 ✺
24.01.26	O2-Jyväskylä - Josba Joensuu	6:3 ✺
18.01.26	Josba Joensuu - Koovee Tampere	7:6 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Josba Joensuu - Karhut	2:9 ✺
11.01.26	M-Team - Josba Joensuu	5:6 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLW
- SalBa Rauma
Finnish Divari
31.01.26	O2-Jyväskylä - SalBa Rauma	8:2 ✺
24.01.26	M-Team - SalBa Rauma	4:11 ✺
18.01.26	SalBa Rauma - Loviisan Tor	10:5 ✺
17.01.26	SalBa Rauma - SB Vantaa	13:6 ✺
03.01.26	SalBa Rauma - SaiPa	9:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Divari
16.11.25	SalBa Rauma - Josba Joensuu	5:6
12.10.24	Josba Joensuu - SalBa Rauma	4:5
03.03.24	SalBa Rauma - Josba Joensuu	4:3 OT
29.10.23	Josba Joensuu - SalBa Rauma	10:1
14.01.23	Josba Joensuu - SalBa Rauma	3:8
19.11.22	SalBa Rauma - Josba Joensuu	3:2
27.11.21	SalBa Rauma - Josba Joensuu	2:5

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