Match Info

Elvi Liga

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Kekava		Lielvārde

	1	X	2
	1.6	8.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 (1.6)	8.25 (8.25)	2.65 (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 12.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kekava
55.6%

Draw
10.8%

Lielvārde
33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

10.4%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Kekava have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Lielvārde have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kekava than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lielvārde than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kekava won 4.

Kekava has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lielvārde is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kekava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kekava could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Kekava won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 93:78. (average 5.8:4.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kekava won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 55:38. (average 6.1:4.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Lielvarde	6	1	0	1	4	16:34	4
9	Kekava	6	0	1	1	4	28:36	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kekava
Latvian Elvi Liga
09.01.26	Kekava - Ulbroka	6:4 ✺
03.01.26	Talsi - Kekava	6:3 ✺
21.12.25	Valmeira - Kekava	6:5 penalties ✺
19.12.25	Kekava - Rubene	4:5 ✺
12.12.25	Kekava - Irlava Avant	10:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLLLW
- SK Lielvārde
Latvian Elvi Liga
10.01.26	Lielvārde - Talsi	1:12 ✺
03.01.26	Rubene - Lielvārde	8:4 ✺
27.12.25	Talsi - Lielvārde	5:3 ✺
21.12.25	Lielvārde - Lekrings	4:6 ✺
18.12.25	Lielvārde - SĀC	8:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Elvi Liga
04.12.25	Lielvārde - Kekava	6:3
04.10.25	Kekava - Lielvārde	7:1
22.11.24	Kekava - Lielvārde	11:3
10.10.24	Lielvārde - Kekava	6:7
08.12.23	Kekava - Lielvārde	8:4
21.09.23	Lielvārde - Kekava	7:6
06.01.23	Kekava - Lielvārde	5:4

Kekava - Lielvārde: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide