Match Info

Elvi Liga

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Lielvārde		Irlava Avant

	1	X	2
	1.47	9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 (1.47)	9 (9)	3 (3)

The best margin for this event is 12.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lielvārde
60.5%

Draw
9.9%

Irlava Avant
29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

11%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Lielvārde have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Irlava Avant have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lielvārde than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lielvārde that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irlava Avant than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
3rd Period (7 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lielvārde won 2.

Recent performances by Lielvārde have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Irlava Avant has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Lielvārde is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lielvārde won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 83:74. (average 5.9:5.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lielvārde won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:33. (average 5:4.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Lielvarde	6	1	0	1	4	16:34	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Lielvārde
Latvian Elvi Liga
31.01.26	Lielvārde - Bauska	11:4 ✺
Latvian Estonian League Floorball
24.01.26	Sparta - Lielvārde	10:3 ✺
Latvian Elvi Liga
23.01.26	SĀC - Lielvārde	7:9 ✺
20.01.26	Ulbroka - Lielvārde	9:3 ✺
17.01.26	Lielvārde - Valmeira	7:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWLW
- Irlava Avant
Latvian Elvi Liga
31.01.26	Irlava Avant - Kekava	1:10 ✺
27.01.26	Ulbroka - Irlava Avant	13:3 ✺
25.01.26	Rubene - Irlava Avant	14:2 ✺
21.01.26	Irlava Avant - Bauska	7:6 ✺
18.01.26	Lekrings - Irlava Avant	11:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Elvi Liga
30.11.25	Lielvārde - Irlava Avant	4:7
01.10.25	Irlava Avant - Lielvārde	4:10
02.11.24	Lielvārde - Irlava Avant	9:6
21.09.24	Irlava Avant - Lielvārde	5:4
28.01.24	Irlava Avant - Lielvārde	11:8
04.11.23	Lielvārde - Irlava Avant	10:6
28.01.23	Lielvārde - Irlava Avant	5:4

Lielvārde - Irlava Avant: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide