Match Info
Elvi LigaDate: 17 January 2026, Saturday
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 |
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Lielvārde |
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Valmeira |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.5 |
8 |
1.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.5
(3.5) |
8
(8) |
1.4
(1.4) |
|
- The best margin for this event is 12.5%, offered by
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Lielvārde
25.4% | Draw
11.1% | Valmeira
63.5% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Lielvārde have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The chances for Valmeira have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lielvārde than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lielvārde, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmeira than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valmeira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors. 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 2nd Period (5 - 1)
- 3rd Period (1 - 4)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lielvārde won 2.Lielvārde has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, Valmeira has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Valmeira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Valmeira is seen as the favorite. We predict that Valmeira will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lielvārde won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 97:88. (average 4.9:4.4).Including home matches between the teams, Lielvārde won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:30. (average 5.5:3.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 6 | Valmiera | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 34:33 | 8 |
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| 8 | Lielvarde | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16:34 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Latvian Elvi Liga | | | 31.10.25 | Valmeira - Lielvārde | 4:5 OT | | 12.03.25 | Valmeira - Lielvārde | 10:8 | | 09.03.25 | Lielvārde - Valmeira | 4:3 | | 07.03.25 | Valmeira - Lielvārde | 5:2 | | 02.03.25 | Lielvārde - Valmeira | 2:3 OT | | 01.03.25 | Lielvārde - Valmeira | 7:6 | | 22.02.25 | Valmeira - Lielvārde | 9:4 |
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