Match Info

Allsvenskan - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Innebandy Play


	Lund		Sirius

	1	X	2
	2.02	4.7	2.65
	2	4.6	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.02)	4.65 ↓ (4.7)	2.63 ↓ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lund
45.5%

Draw
19.7%

Sirius
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

19.6%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

21.2%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Sirius have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lund than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
13:17, Fogwall G. (G), Freij C. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
10:20, Redin J. (G), Vant Hoff T. (A),
13:12, Larano S. (G), Lawesson J. (A),
18:22, Neumann A. (G), Solander A. (A),
19:57, Lawesson J. (G), Karlsson D. (A),

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lund won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lund won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 5.7:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lund won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 6:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	W	D	L	L		Pts
7	Sirius	3	1	1	0	0	1	16:16	5

Last Results with these Odds

Sirius - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.77%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IBK Lund Elit
Swedish Allsvenskan Floorball
03.04.26	Sirius - Lund	7:6 OT ✺
28.03.26	Lund - Sirius	8:4 ✺
22.03.26	Lund - Hagunda	6:4 ✺
18.03.26	Hagunda - Lund	6:11 ✺
14.03.26	Lund - Hagunda	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWL
- IK Sirius IBK
Swedish Allsvenskan Floorball
03.04.26	Sirius - Lund	7:6 OT ✺
28.03.26	Lund - Sirius	8:4 ✺
22.03.26	Sirius - Sundsvall	7:3 ✺
18.03.26	Sundsvall - Sirius	6:5 ✺
15.03.26	Sirius - Sundsvall	10:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Floorball
03.04.26	Sirius - Lund	7:6 OT
28.03.26	Lund - Sirius	8:4
20.12.25	Lund - Sirius	6:1
21.09.25	Sirius - Lund	2:5
02.03.25	Sirius - Lund	4:5 OT
23.11.24	Lund - Sirius	4:5

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