Match Info

Elvi Liga

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday


	SĀC		Lielvārde

	1	X	2
	2.05	6.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 (2.05)	6.75 (6.75)	2.05 (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 12.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SĀC
43.4%

Draw
13.2%

Lielvārde
43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

15.7%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for SĀC have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Lielvārde have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SĀC than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SĀC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lielvārde than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lielvārde, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 4)
2nd Period (2 - 4)
3rd Period (4 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SĀC won 0.

SĀC has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lielvārde is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

SĀC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, SĀC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 47:80. (average 4.3:7.3).

Including home matches between the teams, SĀC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 5:6.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	SAC	6	2	0	0	4	23:38	6
8	Lielvarde	6	1	0	1	4	16:34	4

Last Results with these Odds

Lielvārde - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 43.41%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBK SĀC
Latvian Elvi Liga
16.01.26	SĀC - Ulbroka	4:11 ✺
11.01.26	SĀC - Rubene	4:12 ✺
10.01.26	Irlava Avant - SĀC	7:3 ✺
03.01.26	SĀC - Lekrings	7:8 OT ✺
21.12.25	Talsi - SĀC	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SK Lielvārde
Latvian Elvi Liga
20.01.26	Ulbroka - Lielvārde	9:3 ✺
17.01.26	Lielvārde - Valmeira	7:5 ✺
11.01.26	Kekava - Lielvārde	8:1 ✺
10.01.26	Lielvārde - Talsi	1:12 ✺
03.01.26	Rubene - Lielvārde	8:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Elvi Liga
18.12.25	Lielvārde - SĀC	8:7
09.12.25	SĀC - Lielvārde	3:4
09.01.25	Lielvārde - SĀC	8:1
01.11.24	SĀC - Lielvārde	4:9
19.09.24	Lielvārde - SĀC	8:4
18.01.24	Lielvārde - SĀC	5:3
26.10.23	SĀC - Lielvārde	5:4 OT

SĀC - Lielvārde: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide