Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 21

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Hala sportowa OS Szopienice (Katowice)


	AZS UŚ Katowice		Gwiazda Ruda Śląska

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	4.6	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.08)	4.6 ↓ (4.8)	2.88 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZS UŚ Katowice
48.9%

Draw
19.7%

Gwiazda Ruda Śląska
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

19.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

16.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZS UŚ Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Gwiazda Ruda Śląska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZS UŚ Katowice than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AZS UŚ Katowice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwiazda Ruda Śląska than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gwiazda Ruda Śląska could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AZS UŚ Katowice - Gwiazda Ruda Śląska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burzej K. (G)	50. Mieszczanin P. (G)
92. Lapa S.	10. Dynek M.
5. Lutecki T.	14. Jonczyk A.
10. Smialkowski D.	11. Luszczek S.
28. Zajac P.	20. Podobinski K.
Substitutes
7. Biel L.	18. Alcibar S.
13. Blaszczyk P.	24. Bik O. (G)
80. Jastrzembski M.	89. Grzywaczewski P.
11. Kravets M.	9. Malek M.
2. Kubik M.	17. Setti F.
9. Poplawski A.	21. Siadul B.
31. Sobecko D.	77. Skrzypinski K.
77. Widuch P.	37. Sroda D.
	8. Torres C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
2', Lutecki T. (G),
4', Poplawski A. (G),
7', Lutecki T. (G),
16', Kubik M. 🟨,
17', Widuch P. (G),
2nd Half (4 - 4)
23', Alcibar S. (G),
24', Jonczyk A. (G),
26', Smialkowski D. (G),
27', Alcibar S. (G),
29', Blaszczyk P. (G),
31', Luszczek S. 🟨,
32', Poplawski A. (G),
36', Lutecki T. (G),
37', Setti F. (G),

Preview

Katowice is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ruda Śląska is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Katowice will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Katowice won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:6 (average 5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Katowice won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZS UŚ Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
08.02.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - AZS UŚ Katowice	8:1 ✺
Polish Cup Futsal
25.01.25	AZS UŚ Katowice - Bochnia	2:6 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
22.01.25	AZS UŚ Katowice - Odra Opole	4:4 ✺
19.01.25	Piast Gliwice - AZS UŚ Katowice	6:1 ✺
15.01.25	AZS UŚ Katowice - Kamienica Królewska	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLT
- Gwiazda Ruda Śląska
Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
09.02.25	Gwiazda Ruda Śląska - Lubawa	2:6 ✺
Polish Cup Futsal
25.01.25	Siemianowice Śląskie - Gwiazda Ruda Śląska	2:6 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
22.01.25	Wilanów - Gwiazda Ruda Śląska	3:12 ✺
19.01.25	Gwiazda Ruda Śląska - Przemyśl	3:5 ✺
15.01.25	Red Devils Chojnice - Gwiazda Ruda Śląska	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
13.10.24	Gwiazda Ruda Śląska - AZS UŚ Katowice	3:4
08.12.19	AZS UŚ Katowice - Gwiazda Ruda Śląska	4:2
05.03.16	Gwiazda Ruda Śląska - AZS UŚ Katowice	1:7

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