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Current Win Probability
AZS UŚ Katowice 73.1%
Draw 13.2%
Red Devils Chojnice 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.6%
15.9%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.2%
14.6%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZS UŚ Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZS UŚ Katowice's performance.
Red Devils Chojnice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Devils Chojnice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZS UŚ Katowice than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Devils Chojnice than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Devils Chojnice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AZS UŚ Katowice - Red Devils Chojnice Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Barteczka D. (G)
83. Kartuszynski S. (G)
92. Lapa S.
14. Laskowski P.
5. Lutecki T.
2. Pastars J.
10. Smialkowski D.
80. Rodrigues D.
20. Wilk D.
20. Tkachenko V.
Substitutes
7. Biel L.
10. Neto F.
13. Blaszczyk P.
88. Paesano G.
1. Burzej K. (G)
77. Puchka P. (G)
80. Jastrzembski M.
16. Rocha J.
14. Krol M.
26. Rodrigues D.
9. Poplawski A.
9. Torres F.
31. Sobecko D.
22. Yelishev A.
77. Widuch P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 1)
5', Lutecki T. (G),
8', Widuch P. (G),
12', Neto F. 🟨,
16', Lapa S. (G),
18', Smialkowski D. (G),
20', Poplawski A. (Own Goal),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
24', Widuch P. (G),
25', Lutecki T. (G),
29', Blaszczyk P. (G),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Katowice won 2.
Katowice is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Red Devils Chojnice has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Red Devils Chojnice could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Katowice is certain favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Katowice won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25:23 (average 2.5:2.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Katowice won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:12 (average 2.8:2.4).
Watch
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Barteczka D. (G) 
Lapa S. 
Pastars J. 
Rodrigues D. 
Neto F. 
Rocha J. 
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