Match Info
Serie A - Round 12Date: 12 December 2025, Friday
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Capurso |
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Sandro Abate |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Capurso 42.2% | Draw 19.1% | Sandro Abate 38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Capurso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Sandro Abate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capurso than the current prediction. (+12.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Capurso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandro Abate than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sandro Abate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Capurso - Sandro Abate Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
31. Micoli G. (G)
| 98. Ducci D. (G)
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88. Grandinetti G.
| 10. Abate M.
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12. Lamas N.
| 11. Alex
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11. Perri J.
| 77. Dimas
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7. Pires G.
| 4. Ferreira E.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
99. Cuscito M. (G)
| 6. Botta V.
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10. Dammacco V.
| 16. Di Luccio A.
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8. Garofalo B.
| 2. Galletto G.
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20. Giannattasio D.
| 12. Lo Conte R. (G)
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1. Lisco C. (G)
| 8. Mello V.
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33. Nitti M.
| 93. Suazo M.
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. Petronella G.
| 1. Vitiello R. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 7', Dimas (G),
- 14', Galletto G. 🟨,
- 15', Grandinetti G. (G),
- 19', Ferreira E. (G),
- 20', Suazo M. (G),
- 20', Lamas N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 2)
- 26', Galletto G. (G),
- 27', Nitti M. 🟨,
- 28', Giannattasio D. (G),
- 29', Dammacco V. 🟨,
- 31', Pires G. (G),
- 34', Galletto G. (G),
- 35', Ferreira E. 🟨,
- 36', Grandinetti G. (G),
- 36', Suazo M. 🟥,
- 36', Pires G. (G),
- 37', Dimas 🟨,
- 38', Pires G. 🟥,
Preview
Capurso is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Sandro Abate has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Capurso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;