Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Castell de Peñiscola		Valdepeñas

	1	X	2
	2.20	4.00	2.20
	2.3	4.15	2.18
	2.33	4.58	2.23	Watch
	2.38	4.1	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.33)	4.21 ↓ (4.58)	2.21 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The most likely Handicap: (0)

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castell de Peñiscola
38.6%

Draw
21.1%

Valdepeñas
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

19.9%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castell de Peñiscola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Valdepeñas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Castell de Peñiscola - Valdepeñas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acosta L. (G)	25. Pato (G)
4. Flores L.	8. Joao
80. Franco J.	2. Jose Mario
14. Perez V.	9. Marron N.
23. Quintela D.	61. Mateus Torres
Substitutes
16. Araya B.	10. Alex
18. Elias	11. Alvarez R.
12. Gonzalez G. (G)	20. Bartolome C.
10. Munoz P.	7. Carrasco
32. Puchy	16. Naranjo A. (C)
11. Saladie C.	21. Otero P.
20. Sancho D.	1. Puerta B. (G)
2. Sanz C.	17. Tapias A.
9. Yunii	19. Yanez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', Carrasco (G),
11', Sanz C. 🟨,
12', Perez V. 🟨,
19', Joao (G),
20', Sancho D. (G),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
37', Quintela D. (G),
38', Naranjo A. (G),
39', Quintela D. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 2.

Peñiscola could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Peñiscola has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:40 (averaging 3.6:3.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Peñiscola against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 23:24 goals (averaging 3.3:3.4 per game).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	FS Valdepenas	5	2	2	1	9:9	8
13	Peniscola	5	1	1	3	15:20	4

Last Results with these Odds

Valdepeñas - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.92%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castell de Peñiscola
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
18.09.26	Barcelona Alusport - Castell de Peñiscola	6:1 ✺
12.09.26	AD Sala 10 Zaragoza - Castell de Peñiscola	3:5 ✺
15.05.26	ElPozo Murcia - Castell de Peñiscola	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Castell de Peñiscola - Ribera Navarra	6:2 ✺
02.05.26	Barcelona Alusport - Castell de Peñiscola	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.4 LWWWT
- FS Valdepeñas
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
20.09.26	Valdepeñas - Xota	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Valdepeñas - Barcelona Alusport	2:5 ✺
01.06.26	Valdepeñas - Barcelona Alusport	4:6 ✺
29.05.26	Barcelona Alusport - Valdepeñas	4:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
23.05.26	Cartagena - Valdepeñas	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
04.04.26	Castell de Peñiscola - Valdepeñas	1:4
15.11.25	Valdepeñas - Castell de Peñiscola	1:0
25.02.25	Valdepeñas - Castell de Peñiscola	2:7
23.11.24	Castell de Peñiscola - Valdepeñas	8:6
17.02.24	Castell de Peñiscola - Valdepeñas	2:4
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
16.01.24	Castell de Peñiscola - Valdepeñas	3:2 OT
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
30.09.23	Valdepeñas - Castell de Peñiscola	5:5

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